【禁聞】中共體制 習近平「浙江模式」未卜

【新唐人2012年8月8日訊】現任中共政治局常委、國家副主席的習近平,被認定是胡錦濤的接班人,行事向來低調,不過,有不少人看好習近平,尤其肯定他在治理浙江時的所謂「浙江模式」。有媒體分析,習近平的「浙江模式」有可能是他未來施政的方向,然而經濟學者認為,在中共體制下,再好的模式是否能夠實施?還是個問號。

習近平被選為中央政治局常委開始,就被外界猜測,是中共中央內定繼胡錦濤之後的下一任中共中央總書記。依據北京的程序,習近平將於今年秋天的中共18大,接替胡錦濤成為中共總書記,然後在明年三月份全國人大換屆時,成為國家主席。

香港《開放》雜誌評論文章報導,在中國各路諸侯施政之爭中,除了汪洋的「廣東模式」,薄熙來的「重慶模式」,實際還存在一個習近平治理浙江時的「浙江模式」,報導說,這有可能成為習近平未來施政的方向。

文章認為,「浙江模式」就是政府多服務少干預,逐漸走向「小政府大社會」的模式。而在官方的宣傳中,所謂「浙江模式」,是指國家支持以「中小民營企業為主」的經濟發展體系。

對此,美國「南卡羅萊納大學艾肯商學院」教授謝田表示,中國的中小企業在過去三十年來,一直都在力圖大規模發展,但是過程中常常受到來自國有企業的限制。

美「南卡羅萊納大學艾肯商學院」教授謝田:「因為最主要的資源和企業呢,包括那些交通、電力、銀行,這些最重要的企業,都被中共利益集團給控制壟斷著,那麼這些小企業在發展過程中,在不可避免的需要財務金融的服務,電信的服務和交通運輸的服務,那麼他們也會受到限制。」

謝田表示,中國大陸的國有企業與私營企業的待遇,不管是融資、政府政策、稅收等等,都存在著不平等。

報導說,當年習近平在福建任職時,就對政府的定位與角色問題有獨特的見解。他認為:政府要做有限的政府,政府應有所為,有所不為,把自己定位準確,把主要精力放在自己該管好的事情上,把那些自己不該管、也管不好的事情還權於社會,還權於企業。

謝田:「在中共一黨專政的體制之下,再好的模式我看也沒有甚麼太多的希望,看起來挺好,但是能不能實行,能不能夠實施,在中共這個體制之下能不能夠實施,我看還是最大的問號。」

兩年前維基解密披露美國密電,指習近平是個「好人」,不貪錢、不貪污、不好女色。《開放》雜誌引述北京消息人士的分析也指出,習近平應該比胡錦濤更有擔當和有分寸,面對異議對抗時,採用鐵腕鎮壓的可能性也會低一些。

謝田:「中共的領導人,他沒有當上第一領導人的時候,他可能有更好的願望有更好的願景,但在這個體制下,整個共產黨是一個非常邪惡殘暴的體制,他一旦坐上第一領導人位置的時候,他知道他的權力來源,都是來自於共產黨這個整個體系,是共產黨給予他這麼多的權力,所以實際上很難跟共產黨決裂,去放棄現在這個到手的既得利益。」

謝田認為,下一代的中共領導人未來會怎麼走,會不會出現象前蘇共領導人葉爾欽、戈爾巴喬夫一樣的人物,把蘇共解體掉,現在還很難確定。

採訪/陳漢 編輯/黃億美 後製/郭敬

What Is the Future of Xi Jinping’s “Zhejiang Model”?

Xi Jinping is considered to become successor of Hu Jintao.

Xi Jinping is Vice-President and the member of Politburo
Standing Committee, and has always had a low profile.
Many people are optimistic towards his political career,
especially the “Zhejiang Model” that he has created.
Some media outlets have even analyzed that the
“Zhejiang Model” will be the direction for his future policy.
Economists think that under the Chinese Communist
Party’s (CCP) system,
however, the question remains of whether
a good model can be implemented.

Following Xi Jinping’s selection as a member
of the Politburo Standing Committee,
many people suspected the CCP Central Committee had
decided Xi will become the next General Secretary of CCP.
According to the CCP process, Xi Jinping will succeed
Hu Jintao to become General Secretary during the 18th National Congress, which will take place this autumn.
He will then become the President in the National
People’s Congress (NPC), which will be held next March.

Hong Kong-based magazine “Open”
reported on the situation.
In addition to Wang Yang’s “Guangdong Model”, and recently
ousted Bo Xilai’s “Chongqing Model”, there is another model.
This model is called the “Zhejiang Model”, which was created
by Xi Jinping during his tenure in Zhejiang province.
The report states the “Zhejiang Model” might
become the future policy direction of Xi Jinping.

The report said that in “Zhejiang Model”, the government will
serve the people more, and interfere with the people less.
Society will move towards a model
of “small government, big society”.
In official propaganda, the so-called “Zhejiang Model"
develops a system in which the “state supports a small and medium-sized private enterprise”-based economy.

Xie Tian, a professor at the Aiken School of Business,
University of South Carolina U.S. commented.
In China over the past 30 years, small
and medium-sized companies tried to grow.
They were always restricted
by state-owned enterprises.

Xie Tian: “Because the CCP controls the main resources and
enterprises, including transportation, electricity and banking.
All the most important enterprises are controlled by the CCP.

But small and medium-sized companies have to face
the financial services, the telecommunications services and transportation services. They are restricted.”

Xie Tian said that in China, state-owned enterprises enjoy
different services in comparison with private enterprises.
This includes financing, political policies, taxes etc.
There are inequalities in all these areas.

It’s reported that when Xi Jinping was in office in Fujian
Province, he gave special positioning to the government.
Xi thought the government could only play a limited role,
meaning it must do some things, and not do other things.
In positioning itself to accurately focus energy
on the things that it should do,
it should place the things that it should not control
in the hands of society, granting power to companies.

Xie Tian: “Under the CCP dictatorship,
there’s no hope, even with a better model.
It looks good, but it remains a question whether it can
be implemented, and whether it can be put into action.
Under the CCP regime, I have the biggest
doubt of whether it can be implemented.”

Two years ago, Wikileaks disclosed a secret U.S. message.

It said Xi Jinping is a “good person”, who is not greedy
for money, not corrupt or sexually deviant.
Hong Kong’s “Open” magazine quoted a Beijing
source, which compared him with Hu Jintao.
Xi Jinping should be more accountable.
He may use less iron-fisted repression on dissidents.

Xie Tian: “For CCP’s leaders, they may have wishes
for a better future before they are on board.
But the CCP is a very evil organization.

Once a person takes the position of leader,
he knows his power is from the whole CCP system.
It is the CCP that gives him such strong power.

So, it’s very hard for the person to separate himself
from the CCP, and for him to lose his vested interests.”

Xie Tian thinks it’s very hard to say which style
of leadership the next CCP leader will take.
It’s hard to say whether he will be like another Boris Yeltsin
or Gorbachev, leaders of the former Soviet Communist Party.

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