【新唐人2012年6月11日訊】香港《南華早報》6月8號提出7人常委名單。報導說，胡錦濤團派只佔兩名，還不包括團派主將汪洋，其餘都是江系太子黨。不過，這則消息被認為是江派在十八大前為攪亂局勢放出的又一煙霧彈。在此之前有報導說，中共中央軍委中，2名副主席和8名軍委委員聯署，要求胡錦濤十八大後留任軍委主席。如果胡錦濤留任兩年軍委主席，對中國政局、打擊制衡江派會產生甚麼影響？請看《中國事務》雜誌主編、伍凡的分析。
據香港《爭鳴》雜誌報導，5月初，軍委副主席郭伯雄、徐才厚、軍委委員梁光烈、陳炳德、李繼耐、廖錫龍、常萬全、靖志遠、吳勝利、許其亮等，聯署致函中央政治局及常委會，表示，在當前非常時期與極其複雜的國際形勢下，他們以全軍名義要求胡錦濤十八大後留任軍委主席，統率全軍應付局勢。
《中國事務》主編伍凡：軍隊要控制國家的目地，不要讓各個省，各個區，軍閥割據也好，走上聯邦制也好等等，不讓它分散。現在它不是拚命發展武器嗎，擴張軍隊，它用這股力量來控制整個國家，控制整個共產黨和政府。那麼要有一個人來出頭，就用胡錦濤來代表軍事力量控制這個黨。
2006年5月，胡錦濤到黃海視察時曾被暗殺，死裡逃生，據說，暗殺命令是江澤民的親信—-海軍司令員張定發下達的。那次的被暗殺，促使胡錦濤開始緊抓軍權。2007年，胡錦濤最先從北京衛戍區司令員和政委「開刀」。當時還不是少將且缺少地方軍區工作經驗的李少軍，突然接替了江澤民的親信邱金凱的衛戍區司令職務。接著，胡錦濤又用自己的心腹—-房峰輝，換下原北京軍區司令員朱啟。同年，胡錦濤的現任「大秘」—-令計劃升任中央辦公廳主任，負責中央警衛局的調度。至此，胡錦濤全面掌控北京軍權。
今年2月王立軍事件後，胡溫開始清理薄周勢力，期間軍方高層包括軍委副主席、四總部和四兵種負責人都屢次表態效忠胡錦濤。
伍凡：「 各個地方不聽話，各種情況都有可能發生，你有了軍事力量，你哪個地方不聽話我馬上抓你，就像對付薄熙來就這樣。所以他這步棋，從對共產黨來講，對軍隊來講，可能是對他們是最有利的，首先軍隊不亂，共產黨亂不起來，那麼用軍隊，武警拉在一起，控制全國。」
5月23號，胡錦濤罕見的會見了北京軍區第十次黨代表大會代表，強調「北京軍區部隊所處的戰略地位非常重要」。北京軍區的總兵力超過40萬，防區為北京、天津、河北、山西和內蒙古。
伍凡：「主要是控制共產黨，用軍隊來控制共產黨，因為再過半年胡錦濤要下臺，他不做總書記了，他也管不了政府了，他用軍隊來控制共產黨，過去共產黨絕對領導軍隊，實際上還有一句話，槍桿子裡出政權，胡錦濤用軍隊來控制軍隊，控制全國，這是他的目地。」
中共歷來憑軍權說話，外界分析，胡錦濤大軍在握，且通過「薄周案」已經清除江派主要勢力，預計這次團派將佔據常委會絕對優勢，主導十八大佈局。
採訪/劉惠 編輯/許旻 後製/鍾元
Hu Jintao Reported to Extend Post as Military Chief
On June 8, Hong Kong’s South China Morning Post
reported on a seven candidate list for the new Politburo
Standing Committee of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
The report said that the Youth League, led by Hu Jintao
will only take two seats, without its core member Wang Yang.
The remaining five seats are all taken by Jiang’s princelings.
The news is deemed another smoke bomb released
by Jiang Zemin’s faction ahead of the CCP’s 18th Congress.
Earlier, two Vice-Chairmen and eight members of the CCP
Central Military Commission (CMC) reportedly co-signed a letter,
requesting Hu Jintao to stay on as the CMC Chairman
after he retires at the 18th Party Congress.
With extended two year tenure, what impact will
Hu Jintao has to China’s political situation?
How will it impact countering Jiang’s faction?
Let’s see what the commentators say on this issue.
Hong Kong’s Chengming magazine reported that in early
May, a group of CCP Central Military Commission (CMC)
senior officials sent a co-signed letter to the Central
Politburo and the Standing Committee.
The co-signatories included CMC Vice Chairman
Guo Boxiong and Xu Caihou.
It also included CMC members Liang Guanglie,
Chen Bingde, Li Jinai and so on…
The letter highlighted the current extraordinary times
and the extremely complex international situation.
On behalf of the whole army, all the co-signatories
asked Hu Jintao to stay on as the CMC Chief after his retirement at the18th Congress.
Hu is expected to command the whole army to cope
with the situation, the letter said.
Wu Fan, Chief Editor for China Affairs: “The reason behind
using the army to control the country is to prevent the occurrence of regional separatism or federalism.
Isn’ the army desperately strengthening
it’s military equipment now?
He uses this force to control the country,
the CCP and its regime.
So Hu Jintao is picked to represent the military force
that controls this Party.”
Hu Jintao escaped an assassination attempt during his
navy base inspection in Qingdao in May, 2006.
Jiang Zemin’s crony Zhang Dingfa, then Navy Commander,
was said to authorize the assassination order.
The survival caused Hu Jintao to take power over the military.
Hu’s first axe fell in 2007 upon the Beijing Garrison
Commander and political commissar.
Li Shaojun, ranked below Major General and lacking
regional military work experience,
suddenly succeeded Jiang’s crony Qiu Jinkai,
as Beijing Garrison Commander.
Fang Fenghui, Hu’s confidant, was then appointed
as the new Beijing Military Region Commander.
Fang replaced Zhu Qi. In the same year, Ling Jihua,
now Hu’s chief secretary, was promoted to be the CCP’s General Office Director.
Ling was in charge of the dispatch
of the Central Guard Unit.
At that time, Hu Jintao took full control
of the Beijing military.
Since the Wang Lijun’s incident in February, Hu Jintao
and Wen Jiabao began to purge forces headed by Bo Xilai and Zhou Yongkang.
Over these past few months, the military top-level,
including the CMC Vice Chairmen,
Four General Headquarters Chiefs and the four heads of
arms have repeatedly pledged loyalty to Hu Jintao.
Wu Fan: “When the regional chief shows
disobedience, anything can happen.
But the military force can take down the disobedient
individual right away, just as happened with Bo Xilai.
Hu’s action might be the most effective move for them.
The army’s stability is the top priority,
which can assure the CCP’s stability.
With the army and the armed police force
are in hand, they can control the whole country."
On May 23, Hu Jintao held an usual meeting with the deputies
at the 10th Party Congress of the Beijing Military Region.
Hu stressed that “the Beijing Military Region
occupies a very important strategic position.”
The Beijing Military Region has a total
of over 400,000 military personnel.
Its administration covers Beijing, Tianjin, Hebei Province,
Shanxi Province and Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region.
Wu Fan: “The army is mainly used to control the CCP.
Because in half a year, Hu Jintao will step down from his
position as General Secretary, he’ll lose the authority to control the regime.
However, he can control the CCP with the army.
In the past, the CCP has absolute leadership over the army.
But there is a (CCP) saying: ‘power grows from
the barrel of the gun’
Hu Jintao uses the army to control the army,
and further to control the entire country. That’s his intention.”
In history, the CCP has always controlled situations
by relying on grabbing power over the military.
Commentators say that Hu Jintao, now with military power
in hand, has removed Jiang’s major factional forces by handling the case of Bo Xilai & Zhou Yongkang.
Hu’s Youth League force is expected to overwhelmingly
dominate the Politburo Standing Committee at the CCP’s 18th Party Congress, according to analysis.