【新唐人2012年5月9日訊】薄熙來主政重慶期間，為政治目地大搞政績工程，使重慶債臺高築。報導指出，「國家開發銀行」當初給重慶注入海量資金，現在正處於繼續投入還是斷然抽身的尷尬境地。雖然日前「國開行」出來所謂闢謠，表示重慶風險可以控制，但還是難杜悠悠之口，各大媒體的報導，可說是「山雨慾來風滿樓」。

現在看到的這些龐大工地，記錄著薄熙來推行「重慶模式」的歷史。他提出的「五個重慶」建設發展目標，涉及的總投資金額將近1萬億元。然而這些所謂的建設為重慶債務問題埋下隱患，最近的政治事件只不過加速了問題的爆發。

《路透社》報導，「重慶模式」留下的巨額債務，中共「國家開發銀行」以近千億的貸款「深陷」其中，地方政府融資平臺風險四伏。

中國問題學家鞏勝利表示，當初薄熙來在重慶為了爭取人心，花了大量的錢，搞所謂的社會投資項目，其中還有一個工程，叫做阿根廷、巴西的黃豆項目，也是薄熙來拍案的。

中國問題學家鞏勝利：「當時的資料我一看，我就質疑薄熙來，三百萬畝土地，當時就是近百億的美金，他是一統壟斷，你想想看，中國去阿根廷、去巴西買土地種黃豆的事件，可能全世界都是前所未聞的事情，而且可行性的報告都是要進一步落實，但是他第一期工程，這樣的錢已經花進去了。」

鞏勝利認為，重慶從「國開行」獲得的支持力度，是其他省級政府不可能獲得的，如果不是中央政府給予特殊政策，基本難以為繼。

「國開行」年報中，與重慶基礎設施相關的貸款投放數據為：2010年，支持重慶「二環八射」項目建設，貸款餘額為人民幣337.39億元人民幣，對項目的纍計承諾貸款達506.83億元﹔2009年，為支持重慶輕軌3號和6號線項目，承諾的貸款為人民幣111.9億元。

美國「南卡羅來納大學」謝田教授表示，僅2010到2011兩年間，重慶市的固定資產投資額就超過一萬四千五百億人民幣，而同期，重慶市地方財政收入加上中央補助不到八千億元。可以說，固定資產投資中的絕大部分都來自於銀行貸款或私人部門的投資。謝田分析，如果沒有後續資金的繼續支持，重慶資金鏈隨時有可能斷裂。

美國「南卡羅來納大學」謝田教授：「這個重慶，實際上可以說是中國經濟整體形式的縮影，重慶現在之所以被人關注，是因為薄熙來事件，而薄熙來透過他個人的關係，個人的擔保，花言巧語吸引了很多臺商、臺資去重慶投資，參與所謂重建重慶的計劃，那如果這些擔保是基於原來薄熙來自己個人政治地位的基礎上，那現在薄熙來失去了這個官銜、失去這個地位，那些臺商的投資現在可能是岌岌可危了。」

謝田表示，後續的資金跟不上，資金鏈斷裂的話，那些建設將會成為無底洞工程，這樣會導致整個項目的破產，實際上全中國都面臨同樣的問題。

採訪/朱智善 編輯/黃億美 後製/郭敬

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The “Chongqing Model”: Bad Debts Bo Left

When Bo Xilai ruled Chongqing, he engaged in vain projects

and left bad debts.

Some reports pointed out that the “National Development

Bank” injected massive funding into Chongqing.

Therefore, the bank is in an awkward position now:

to continue to invest or to withdraw categorically.

Recently the “National Development Bank" denied the

rumor and mentioned that risk in Chongqing is under control.

However, it is hard to eliminate public doubt.

These huge construction sites record the history of

“Chongqing Model” and Bo Xilai.

Bo’s “five Chongqing” construction goals involve

nearly one trillion RMB investment.

However, these constructions left hidden

debt problems for Chongqing.

Recent political events have just accelerated the

outbreak process.

Reuters reported, huge debts from the “Chongqing

Model” let nearly $100 billion loans from “National Development Bank” get stuck.

The financing platform of local government

in China gets risky.

Gong Shenli, an expert on Chinese issues said, in order

to win over the people,

Bo spent a lot of money on social investment projects,

It included Argentina and Brazil’s soybean program.

Chinese issues expert Gong Shenli: “When I saw the

information, I questioned what Bo did.

This program includes 3 million acres of land,

almost US$10 billion, and Bo made the decision himself.

It is ridiculous to buy land and plant soybean

in Argentina and Brazil.

However, Bo paid for the first phase of the project,

without consulting a feasibility report.”

Gong Shenli thought, Chongqing got a lot of support

from “National Development Bank”,

while other local government can’t obtain

the same treatment.

The “Chongqing Model” is unsustainable without

a special policy from central government.

In the annual report of “National Development Bank”,

loans related to Chongqing infrastructure include:

the 2010 loans for “Second Ring Eight Shot” projects,

with a balance of 33.74 billion RMB and the cumulative commitment amount of 50.68 billion RMB.

The 2009 loans for the 3rd and the 6th line of Chongqing

light rail, include cumulative commitment amount of 11.19 billion RMB.

Xie Tian, professor at University of South Carolina, U.S.,

said, from 2010 to 2011, fixed assets investment of Chongqing is more than 1.45 trillion RMB.

However, local fiscal revenue plus central subsidies

are less than 800 billion RMB,

which means most of the fixed asset investments are

from bank loans or private-sector investment.

Xie Tian said the capital chain of Chongqing could

break at any time if no follow-up funds are injected.

Xie Tian, professor at University of South Carolina, U.S.:

“The Chongqing issues can be seen as a microcosm of the whole Chinese economy.

Chongqing has been much concerned since the

Bo Xilai event.

Bo attracted a lot of Taiwanese businessmen to invest in

Chongqing by using his guanxi and personal guarantee.

However, the guanxi and guarantee are based on Bo’s

political status.”

Therefore, after Bo stepped down, the investments of

Taiwanese businessmen are in danger.”

Xi Tian said, without follow-up funds, the capital chain of

Chongqing will break, and all the constructions will become so many bottomless projects.

It will lead to project bankruptcy.

In fact, the whole of China is facing the same problem.