【新唐人2014年02月21日訊】自去年開始，許多外國機構及經濟學家都在唱衰中共，甚至表示中國經濟會發生「震撼全球的崩潰」。日前，香港媒體披露，中共宣傳部已向媒體下達指示，規避外資銀行的經濟學家唱衰中國經濟。分析人士指出，中共為維穩保黨，在驅逐外媒記者後，外資銀行的分析師將遭清理。
日前，香港《南華早報》援引不願透露姓名的中國媒體人士，和經濟研究員的曝料說，中共宣傳部向媒體下達指令，要求他們在邀請經濟學者談論中國經濟時，謹慎對待可能提到的中國經濟問題和挑戰等話題。
指示內容還包括：減少邀請外資銀行參加中國銀監會就銀行業發展的閉門會議﹔中共央行和銀監部門在向外資銀行披露信息時要小心﹔中共官員對外資銀行的研究報告要更為謹慎，以及疏遠國際銀行的高級經濟師等。
一位傳媒業內人士透露：沒有黑名單，也沒有白名單。但很清楚的是，在邀請專家談論中國經濟的現場直播時，我們會被鼓勵去邀請國內證券公司和銀行的經濟師和分析師。
美國南卡羅萊納大學艾肯商學院教授謝田：「現在中國經濟和金融確實到了一個非常嚴峻危機的地步，這些有良知的、願意講真話的這些專家學者們，他們不得不唱衰中國的經濟。不得不對中國經濟發表出很多悲觀的看法，而這些都不可避免的戳到中共對經濟方面的造假、謊言。中共現在發出這個指令就是排防海外的，或者是有外國西方背景的一些專家。」
2月17號，「英國廣播公司《BBC》」經濟事務編輯羅伯特•派斯頓，撰文《中國是否會再次震撼世界？ 》。文中指出，在過去的幾年中，中國每隔五天建成一座新的摩天大樓﹔修建了30多個機場，25個城市的地鐵，三座世界上最長的橋樑，超過6000英里的高速鐵路線，26000英里高速公路，商用建築和私人住宅的開發，達到了一個令人難以置信的規模。
他說，這些由「借貸膨脹」產生的支出和投資的項目，永遠無法產生經濟回報。中國的債務，已經佔國內生產總值GDP的比重，從2008年的大約125%，增加到目前的200%。
羅伯特•派斯頓表示，如果借貸及投資的膨脹不能被束縛住，不僅會動搖中國，而且是會產生震撼全球的那種崩潰。
國際貨幣基金組織（IMF）1月14號發表的一份報告顯示，2012年，中國國民生產總值GDP 為51萬9千億元人民幣，而中國地方政府債務高達GDP 的45%。真實的財政狀況比官方數據更糟糕。
去年3月，大陸媒體《財經網》刊發國際知名投行機構「野村證券」經濟學家的報告說，中國經濟正在顯現金融危機前的特徵，預計市場風險的惡化，將會造成貧富差距的擴大。「野村證券」多次看衰中國經濟。
美國「紐約城市大學」政治學教授夏明表示，2014年全球業界的基本共識是，中國的房產和信貸泡沫，不可避免的將破滅，驚弓之鳥的中共，擔心國際上對中國銀行危機、金融風暴的討論引發國內恐慌，一方面拚命扭曲中國的經濟信息誤導老百姓，另一方面則為維穩而封鎖中國的經濟信息。
夏明：「中共中宣部對海外的記者發出指示或警告，尤其對各種銀行、金融這方面的信息、尤其對國外經濟學家對中國經濟的困難、銀行之間的危機要不報不提等等，這些都有指示，這些本身都說明瞭在中國經濟信息是高度政治化的。」
謝田：「中宣部做出的一切決定的背後的根源、背後的原因都是為了保住中共、就是保黨，任何可能會威脅到共產黨、或者是戳穿它謊言的言辭評論、專家的看法，對它來說都是足夠威脅的。」
網絡活躍人士、時政評論人士Alan Huang在推特上發表評論說：「當中國的危機從政治層面向經濟層面擴散，可以預見，繼外媒記者遭到驅逐之後，下一波要遭到清理的應該就是外資銀行的分析師。」
採訪編輯/易如 後製/鐘元
Chinese Communist Regime Censors
International Economist Analysis
Since 2013, many foreign institutions and economists have
expressed their disappointment at China’s economy.
Some even anticipated a Chinese economic collapse that will
shake the world.
Hong Kong news report revealed the Communist Propaganda
Department’s recent order demanding Chinese media avoid
using foreign banks economic analysis.
It seems that following rejecting foreign media journalists,
the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) is targeting foreign banks
economic analysts to maintain its so-called stability and
safeguard itself.
According to Hong Kong based South China Morning Post,
An anonymous journalist and economist revealed that the
CCP Propaganda Department had issued a directive to the
Chinese media.
It cautions possible Chinese economic issues and challenges
in talks with economists.
Instructions also include:
Reduce the invitation of foreign banks to participate in
CBRC’s (China Banking Regulatory Commission) closed-
door meetings on the banking industry;
CCP Central Bank and CBRC should be cautious in the
disclosure of information to foreign banks;
CCP officials should be more cautious about foreign banks
research reports;
Avoid senior economists from international banks.
Sources from the Chinese media revealed: “There is no
blacklist or whitelist.
But it is clear that, we are encouraged to invite economists
and analysts from domestic securities companies and banks
in the live talk shows about China’s economy."
Professor Xie Tian, School of Business, University of South
Carolina Aiken: “China is indeed facing a critical crisis in
economy and finance.
Those conscientious experts and specialists have come to the
point to speak the reality of China’s economy.
Those pessimistic talks are inevitably hurtful to all the fraud
and lies the CCP have managed.
This propaganda instruction is to defend itself from those
experts from outside of China."
On February 17, BBC Business Editor Robert Peston’s article,
“Will China shake the world again?" stated:
“Over the past few years, China has built a new skyscraper
every five days, more than 30 airports, metros in 25 cities,
the three longest bridges in the world, more than 6,000 miles
of high speed railway lines;
26,000 miles of motorway, and both commercial and residential
property developments on a mind-boggling scale."
But much of the spending and investment will never generate
an economic return.
“China’s debts as a share of GDP have been rising very rapidly
at around 15% of GDP, or national output, annually and have
increased since 2008 from around 125% of GDP to 200%."
said Peston.
Robert Peston indicated that if the lending and investing
bonanza can’t be stopped, then: “We would be looking at
the kind of crash that would shake China, and the globe."
The IMF (International Monetary Fund) reported on January
14 that, China had a GDP of 51.9 trillion yuan at the end of
2012, but also local debts of up to 45% of GDP.
The actual financial situation is worse than the official data.
In March 2013, caijing.com cited an economist report from
the international investment bank, Nomura Securities.
China has shown signs of financial crisis. The worsening
market risk will create greater disparities.
The Chinese economy has repetitively been disappointing
according to Nomura Securities analysis.
Professor Xia Ming, Political Science, City University of
New York, says that it is the basic global consensus in 2014
that China’s real estate and credit bubble will inevitably burst.
Fearing the international discussion of Chinese banking and
financial crisis will trigger domestic panic, the terrified CCP
is distorting the domestic economic information to mislead
the people.
They are also block the free flow of economic information
for stability maintenance.
Xia Ming: “This instruction from the Propaganda Department
has been issued to overseas correspondents: No report about
the difficulty and crisis of China’s economy from foreign
economists.
These instructions explain that all economic information of
China is highly politicized."
Xie Tian: “The root cause behind all Propaganda Department
decisions is to safeguard the CCP.
Anything such as the comment or opinion from the experts,
that serves potential threat to the CCP or expose its lies, is a
threat to the CCP."
Internet activist and political commentator Alan Huang wrote
on Twitter:
“When China’s crisis spread from the political level to the
economic aspects, it is expected that following the expulsion
of foreign media correspondents, foreign banks analysts are
the next to be targeted."
Interview & Edit/Yi Ru Post-Production/Zhong Yuan
