【新唐人2014年02月12日訊】正在俄羅斯聯邦索契市舉辦的第22屆「冬奧會」，因耗費巨額經費，引發俄國民間的強烈不滿，卻被中共熱捧，並提出正在申辦的2022年「冬奧會」，將所謂「借鑒」俄羅斯經驗。但評論分析，中共想舉辦2022年的奧運會，只是表面宣傳，中共高官們紛紛在海外留了後路，中共政權恐怕支撐不了那麼久了。
第22屆冬季奧林匹克運動會，2月7號至23號在俄羅斯聯邦索契市（Sochi）舉行。俄羅斯為這屆「冬奧會」耗資500多億美元，超過了以往任何一屆「冬奧」主辦國，成為「史上最昂貴的冬奧會」。
在俄國出席索契「冬奧會」開幕式的中共總書記習近平，在接受《俄羅斯電視臺》採訪時，稱讚索契給他留下了很好印象。他說，中國正申請主辦2022年的「冬奧會」，中方特別想學習仿效俄羅斯這次主辦奧運會的經驗。
時政評論員汪北稷：「蘇聯跟俄羅斯，不管是以前的共產道路，還是現在的半極權道路，都是在西方不入流的一種道路，但是中共的文藝體制、文化體制、文宣體制乃至體育這一塊，從中共49年建政以來都是學習蘇聯。」
「英國廣播公司《BBC》」引述「莫斯科國際關係學院東亞研究所」副教授郭爾松的話說，很多俄國老百姓很不高興，認為俄國承辦「冬奧會」，「時間上、地點上都是錯誤」，並且勞民傷財。郭爾松還說，索契不夠冷，俄羅斯不得不從沙特阿拉伯訂購人造冰雪，實在荒唐。
俄羅斯人權活動人士尼科里斯基說，索契奧運更因為貪污腐敗、以及人權狀況、組織工作等倍受批評。而且在索契奧運場館施工過程中，還有工人們的權益受損害和不發工資等問題。
他說，奧運結束之後，許多場館將被廢棄，但無法收回這次奧運會投入的資金，俄羅斯社會將瀰漫失望情緒。他質疑，中共說借鑒俄羅斯經驗，是否會把這些因素都考慮進去。
汪北稷：「08年中共政權靠一國之力搞了一個夏季奧運會，招來了無數的抨擊批判，也包涵了很多的黑幕，但是它也不汲取教訓。它還想利用2022年奧運會來挽回國際上的一個名譽，或者改變國民的心態，是完全不可能實現的。」
汪北稷認為，中共想要在2022年舉辦奧運會太早了點，因為共產黨很可能支撐不到那個時候。
去年9月，英國《金融時報》旗下的雜誌（FT Magazine），在文章中提到「奧運魔咒」，文章指出，專制政權的命運與奧運會，存在著某種巧合聯繫。幾乎每個專制政權在舉辦奧運會後的8到10年內，會發生重大經濟危機或社會變革。
如，納粹德國1936年主辦了奧運會，1945年垮臺﹔ 蘇聯1980年舉辦了奧運會，1991年解體﹔韓國1988年舉辦奧運會後，逐漸走向民主化﹔前南斯拉夫薩拉熱窩1984年舉辦冬季奧運會，90代年初期走向解體和政局動盪。
前中國男籃國家隊隊員陳凱分析，中共自2008年舉辦奧運會後，面對民間要求改善環境、民生、和杜絕腐敗等呼聲，必將走向末日。
前中國男籃國家隊隊員陳凱：「我想它們可能沒有那個時間去舉辦冬季奧運會，它們的日子已經到了，我估計也就在這幾年，就會出現一個重大的變化，我想主要的可能會發生一些政變或者軍政變，或者是對向的摩擦。」
陳凱分析，中共目前面臨外憂內患，和大批官員以及有錢人的攜款外逃，已經支撐不下去了。
陳凱：「中國整個是一個泡沫的經濟和泡沫的政治，這個泡沫很快就要崩盤了，所以很多人都有這個預見，都跑掉了，但他們跑掉之前，他們要做宣傳，說這個社會怎麼樣，要學這個，要學那個，但是所有中共高官，沒有一個人不在外面留一條後路的。」
中共最新發佈的數據顯示，截至2013年，中國海外移民已達到934萬3000人。1月中旬，美國「國際調查記者同盟」 爆料，幾乎所有中共高層官員的親屬都在海外的「離岸公司」藏匿著巨額財產。
採訪編輯/李韻 後製/孫寧
Collosal $50 Billion Sochi Games – Model for CCP
While the Russian people are critical of the collosal costs of
the Sochi Winter Olympics,
the Chinese Communist regime lauded the Sochi Games and
plans to use the Sochi model for preparation
of the 2022 Winter Olympics.
Critics speculate that hosting the 2022 Winter Olympics is
mere propaganda,
since the regime’s officials are actively planning their escape
through overseas emigration, for fear of the collapse of the
regime.
The 22nd Olympic Winter Games is taking place in Sochi from
Feb. 7 to 23.
Costing a collosal $50 billion plus, the Sochi Winter Olympics
is the most expensive Olympics ever.
In an exclusive interview with Rossiya TV, Xi Jinping hailed
the Sochi Olympics.
He said that China, Applying to host the 2022 Winter Olympics,
could learn lessons from the Sochi Games.
Wang Beiji, political commentator: “Be it the Soviet Union or
Russia; with the former communist route or the current semi-
authoritarian system, is a deviant of the Western system.
The Chinese Communist Party’s system of literature, arts,
culture, propaganda, and sports,
is entirely derived from the Soviet Communist regime, since
the take over of the CCP in 1949."
Associate Professor in the Department of Asian and African
Studies, at Moscow State Institute of International Relations,
Vladimir Korsun,
told BBC China, that many Russians are displeased with the
Sochi Olympics, for wrong time,wrong place, and its high cost.
He said that Sochi is not cold enough, and it is absurd to order
artificial snows from Saudi Arabia.
Citing a Russian human rights activist, VOA reported that the
Sochi Olympic Games were criticized for corruption,
human rights violations, and the infrastructure.
In the process of construction, workers endured the loss
of their benefits and wages.
The activist said that many venues will be abandoned after
the Games.
Russians are disappointed at the unrecoverable.
wasteful investment.
He questioned that while China will learn from the experience
of Sochi, whether or not these facts will be taken into account.
Wang Beiji: “China’s 2008 Summer Olympics was criticized
for severe corruption,but none of the lessons were learnt.
Now the regime is talking about the 2022 Olympics to restore
its reputation with the international community or with its people…
it is absolutely impossible."
Wang Beiji feels that talking about the 2022 Olympics is too
early, since the CCP might not last that long.
Last September, FT Magazine reported on the Olympic curse,
referring to a cute coincidence of history that authoritarian
regimes collapse within a decade of hosting a modern Olympic
Games,
due to major economic crisis or social change.
For example, Nazi Germany collapsed in 1945 after hosting
the 1936 Olympic Games; the Soviet Union in 1991 after the
1980 Olympics;
Korea gradually stepped towards democracy after its 1988
Olympics, and Yugoslavia in the 1990’s after the 1984 Winter
Olympics.
Former Chinese national basketball team player Chen Kai
postulates,that since the 2008 Olympics,
China has been faced with uprisings; demands to improve
the environment, livelihood, and for an end to corruption.
The CCP is certainly moving towards demise.
Chen Kai, former Chinese men’s basketball national team:
“I don’t think they will be able to hold the Winter Olympics.
Their doomsday is coming.
I figure it will be in just a few years. Major changes will happen,
such as a coup or military coup, and even friction from
opponents."
Chen Kai believes that the CCP is faced with both external and
internal problems,
along with a large number of officials and the wealthy class
escaping abroad. The regime is hard to hold together.
Chen Kai: “All of China is facing a political and economic
bubble. Everyone sees that the bubble is at the brink of collapse.
Everyone is escaping. However, they still continue their
propaganda despite the process of fleeing overseas."
Recent data revealed that as of 2013, more than 9.34 million
Chinese have emigrated overseas.
International Consortium of Investigative Journalists also
reported in January that nearly all Communist high-ranking
officials possess massive property in offshore companies.
Interview & Edit/LiYun Post-Production/SunNing
