【新唐人2013年01月12日訊】1月10號下午，多架中國戰機，從釣魚島以北進入日本「防空識別圈」內，部署在那霸的日本航空自衛隊F-15J緊急升空應對。這也是新年過後中國飛機第二次進入釣魚島空域。中國從派海監船、海監飛機，到多架軍用飛機前往釣魚島海域，最後情況的走勢會演變成中日戰爭嗎？
據日本放送協會NHK報導，含3種機型的10多架中國戰機10號上午至下午5點，從釣魚島以北進入日本「防空識別圈」內。
日本《共同社》的報導說，據日本防衛省官員透露，進入「防空識別圈」的中國戰鬥機有J-7及J-10等，但並沒有進入所謂的日本「領空」。目前，日本防衛省已經加強對釣魚島的警戒，但否認會對接近釣魚島的中國飛機實施警告射擊。
政論家伍凡指出，從中共最近宣示釣魚島主權的行動來看，出動海監船、海監飛機，再到多架軍用飛機，中日兩國的對抗已逐步加強。戰爭陰影已經出現。
政論家伍凡：「中國老百姓不喜歡共產黨，這是事實。但是共產黨又掀起了民族主義，把老百姓仇恨日本人的情緒吊起來了，所以，從某種程度上（會）支持中共跟日本打一仗，要消滅日本鬼。那麼日本人同樣把民族情緒吊起來，他們不承認二次戰爭後是失敗國。」
中國大陸某網站9號發起一項調查﹕「如果日本向中國飛機施放曳光彈，中國如何應對？」2萬多名受訪者中63.5％的人選擇「超對等還擊，考慮實彈射擊」，34.1%的人選擇「對等還擊」。
伍凡表示，中日兩國都換了新領導人，但中日兩國的經濟都不好，日本經濟甚至一直下滑了20多年。從目前來看，兩國都想走軍國主義的道路，用發展軍備來刺激國民經濟，就像納粹德國、前蘇聯和二戰期間的美國那樣。
安倍晉三在正式就任日本首相後，就積極備戰擴軍。日本防衛省2012年度的補充預算就高達2124億日元。為應對釣魚島，還為自衛隊申請了特別裝備費。安倍最近也要求日本防衛省加強對釣魚島的警戒監視。
《法新社》1月9號的報導指稱，日本會在未來數月內花費21億美元的非常規軍事支出，其中一些用於購買「愛國者3地對空反彈道導彈系統」，以及升級4架F-15戰鬥機。
而中共新上臺的總書記習近平也打出了強國強軍的大旗。
習近平在不久前「南巡」期間，親登「海口艦」甲板、進艙室，上戰車、入班排，觀摩實兵實彈演練等。他還說，「實現中華民族偉大復興，是中華民族近代以來最偉大的夢想。可以說，這個夢想是強國夢，對軍隊來說，也是強軍夢」，習近平要軍隊牢記，「能打仗、打勝仗是強軍之要。」
伍凡認為，不排除習近平走鄧小平那樣的路。鄧小平上臺不久就發動對越南戰爭。
伍凡：「而作爲習近平來講，他希望有一場外部的局部戰爭，能夠控制得住的、並有計劃能打贏的這場戰爭。它可以提升他在國內的統治威望，他能控制軍隊。」
《多維新聞網》也認為，中國出動了軍機對抗日本戰機，這就徹底改變了釣魚島的對抗性質，讓事態進入一個新的層面。
伍凡指出，因為目前《南方週末》和《新京報》提出的中國憲政問題，引起了社會巨大的反響和動盪。在這個時刻，中共出動軍機，明顯是想利用民族矛盾來轉移社會的矛盾。
伍凡表示，當國家面臨內外交困的局面時，獨裁者發動戰爭來轉移視線，是他們一貫的做法。局勢一旦緊張，就有理由嚴控社會。
採訪/陳漢 編輯/宋風 後製/君卓
Many Military Airplanes Cruise Around Diaoyu Islands.
Sino-Japanese Conflict Intensifies.
On the afternoon of January 10th many Chinese fighter planes
entered north of Diaoyu Islands into Japan’s air defense circle.
Japan Air Self-Defense Force F-15J immediately
confronted the unexpected challengers.
This is the second time this year for the Chinese aircraft to
enter the Diaoyu (Senkaku) Islands’ airspace.
China has been sending ocean surveillance ships, maritime
surveillance aircraft and military aircraft to the Diaoyu Islands.
Will China start a war with Japan?
Let’s look at the report.
According to Japan’s NHK report, aircraft of three types of
fighter planes flew over from north of the Diaoyu Islands.
They breached Japan’s air defense identification circle and
remained there all day.
Japan’s “Kyodo News" reported, Japanese Defense Ministry
officials said that the Chinese fighter planes, including J-7
and J-10, flew into the “air defense identification circle,
but did not go into Japan’s “airspace".
Currently, Japan’s defense ministry has strengthened their
vigilance of the Diaoyu (Senkaku) Islands.
They denied they would fire warning shots at the Chinese aircraft.
Wu Fan, a political commentator reviewed the recent actions
of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
From declaration of sovereignty over the Diaoyu Islands,
dispatching ocean surveillance ship, maritime surveillance
aircraft, and military aircraft, the confrontation between
China and Japan has gradually intensified. The shadow of war has emerged.
Wu Fan: “The Chinese people dislike the CCP, and it is a fact.
However, the CCP has set off nationalism
to instigate people’s hatred of the Japanese.
So, to some extent, they would support
the CCP to fight against Japan.
Meanwhile, it also arouses the same sentimentality for the Japanese,
who have never admitted being a defeated nation after WWII."
On January 9th a website survey in Mainland China asked:
If Japan fired a photo-elastic missile at Chinese aircraft, how should China react?
Among more than 20,000 respondents, 63.5% chose “with a
superior counterattack, or using live ammunition". 34.1 % of people chose “same riposte.
Wu Fan believes that China and Japan have new leaders,
but China and Japan’s economy are not good.
Japan’s economy has declined for 20 years.
Judging from the current situation, the two countries want to
take the road of militarism to stimulate the national economy.
By developing arms, just like Nazi Germany, the former Soviet
Union and the U.S. during World War II.
Ever since Shinzo Abe, the Prime Minister of Japan, took office,
he has been actively preparing for military expansion.
Japanese Defense Ministry supplementary budget for the year
2012 was up to 212.4 billion yen.
In response to the Diaoyu Islands, special equipment funds were
applied for the Self-Defense Forces.
Abe also asked the Japanese defense ministry to strengthen
warning and surveillance over the Diaoyu Islands.
“Agence France-Presse” reported on January 9th it was alleged
that Japan will come up with 2.1 billion in the next few months.
This is an unconventional military spend, including a purchase
of the “Patriot surface-to-air anti-ballistic missile system".
It is also planned to upgrade four F-15 fighters.
The CCP new leader, Xi Jinping, also wants to strengthen
the country and the military.
Not long ago, Xi Jinping, during his “southern tour",
boarded the deck of “Haikou ship".
He inspected the cabin and the class schedule,
and also watched the live ammunition drill.
He also said that “to achieve the great rejuvenation of the
Chinese nation is the greatest dream in modern times.
In other words, that is a dream of a powerful country,
and a dream of a strong army.”
Xi Jinping wanted the army to remember: “A strong army
is capable of fighting a war and also winning a war.’
Wu Fan believes Xi Jinping may follow the same path of Deng
Xiaoping, who launched a war against Vietnam after taking power.
Wu Fan: “Xi Jinping, as far China is concerned,
hopes to have an external war.
If he can control the war and win it, he can elevate
his prestige and control the armed forces.”
The Multidimensional News Net said that China has dispatched
military aircraft against Japanese fighters.
This has completely turned the nature of the Diaoyu Islands
confrontation into a new dimension.
Wu Fan pointed out that incidents of “Southern Weekly" and
“Beijing News" have helped to raise the constitutional issue.
This has caused huge social repercussions and unrest.
At this moment, the CCP is sending military aircraft obviously
trying to transfer social conflicts into ethnic conflicts.
Wu Fan thinks, when a country faces internal and
external crises, a dictator will launch a war to divert people’s attention. That is his usual practice.
When the situation intensifies, there will be a good excuse
to exercise strict control over society.
