【新唐人2012年12月20日訊】18號,中共宣佈了新一輪的人事異動。外媒分析,此次人事變動是「團派」的逆襲、「習家軍」的上位。不過,評論指出,新一輪的人事變動,說明兩點,一是習近平和胡錦濤的相互結盟,同時也說明習近平與胡錦濤的不同。
12月18號,中共宣佈新一輪的人事異動,涉及廣東、內蒙古、浙江、陝西、吉林等五省。胡春華任廣東省委書記,王君任內蒙古自治區書記,夏寶龍任浙江省委書記,趙正永任陝西省委書記,王儒林任吉林省委書記。
據了解,胡春華、夏寶龍、趙正永以及王儒林四人,都是團派出身,胡春華在政壇上素有「小胡錦濤」之稱。相傳他深受胡的青睞,也被視為「第六代」領導集團的核心人選。此外,王君雖然不是正宗的共青團出身,但是,他在山西省工作多年,是團派袁純清的副手,可以算作「半個團派」。
而出身浙江習近平時期的陳敏爾,也出任貴州省省長。
因為習近平擔任了中共總書記,他的舊部被外界稱為「習家軍」。外媒認為,這次中共當局一系列的人事異動,是「團派的逆襲」,「習家軍的上位」。
對此,時事評論員林子旭表示,這次 「團派」人馬算是最大的贏家,由此可以看出,胡錦濤與習近平之間的聯盟關係,不過,習近平又有別於胡錦濤。
時事評論員林子旭:「習近平和胡錦濤不一樣,胡錦濤上臺後的好幾年時間,一直無法真正控制權力,但是,太子黨出身的習近平,現在可以說是具備了諸多胡錦濤當政時期不具備的條件。」
早前,政法委被稱為「第二權力中央」,成了周永康和薄熙來在民間和在中共黨內製造禍亂的源頭。並讓周永康、薄熙來有機會與胡錦濤抗衡,使胡錦濤一度陷入「政令不出中南海」的困局。
今年2月,王立軍、薄熙來事件,導致時任政法委書記周永康政治仕途不保,政法委在十八大被「降級」,再加上胡錦濤的「裸退」,外界普遍認為,習近平的日子在這一點上,會比胡錦濤好過一些。
時事評論員史達分析說,習近平沒有像胡錦濤那樣,被「老人干政」牽制的那麼嚴重。
時事評論員史達:「在十八大的時候,胡錦濤與江澤民、曾慶紅同歸於盡,這一招可能已經奏效了,這樣,使得中共元老干政,或者中共老人垂簾統治這一時代告一段落。」
據大陸媒體報導,中共內部會議出臺一個內部規定,就是:所有黨內高官退休後都不得干政,今後包括軍委主席在內,有關退休期限的人事都不允許有例外。
在此之前,香港媒體《亞洲週刊》報導,汪洋將在2013年兩會時出任國務院副總理,負責統籌下一步改革大計,角色非常重要。
林子旭:「七常委中雖然江派人馬居多,但是,從目前的整體情況來看,習近平、李克強、王岐山在高調的唱戲,剩下的江派人馬,似乎都變成了一種擺設。再加上這次小胡錦濤——胡春華主政經濟大省廣東,汪洋也有望入主中央輔佐習近平,習近平應該會在未來不長的時間之內,把自己的權力坐實。」
林子旭預見,習近平在人事佈局上也贏得了主動,在未來,習近平或許會有一些更大的動作。
不過,史達認為,儘管習近平現在具備一個最好的時機,但也要看他有沒有智慧。所以,史達說,民眾不要對中共抱太多希望。
採訪編輯/常春 後製/王明宇
Xi Different from Hu
On 18th December, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) announced
a new round of personnel changes, which was interpreted by
foreign media as the personnel of Xi Jinping
moving into position.
They also pointed out that the new personnel changes showed
two things that Xi and Hu share a mutual alliance,
but are still different.
On 18th December, the CCP announced a new round of personnel
changes involving the five provinces of Guangdong,
Inner Mongolia, Zhejiang, Shaanxi and Jilin.
Hu Chunhua was appointed as Guangdong provincial party
secretary, Wang Jun as Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region
party secretary, Xia Baolong as Zhejiang provincial party
secretary, and Zhao Zhengyong as Shaanxi provincial party
secretary, and Wang Rulin as Jilin provincial party secretary.
It was learnt that Hu Chunhua, Xia Baolong, Zhao Zhengyong
and Wang Rulin all belong to the Tuan group.
Hu Chunhua was even known as the 『Little Hu Jintao』 in the
political arena, and was said to be deeply in Hu’s favor, and
is regarded as the leadership core of the sixth generation.
In addition, although Wang Jun is not a member of the
Communist Youth League, he worked for many years in the
Shanxi Province as the deputy of Yuan Chunqing who is in the
Tuan Group, thus Wang can be counted
as a half Tuan Group member.
Upon learning that the Governor of Calif. was coming to visit,
Chen Miner from the Zhejiang Province has served as governor
of the Guizhou Province.
Xi Jinping served as Secretary-General of the CCP, and his old
forces were called Xi’s Army.
Foreign media say that the CCP series of personnel changes
mark the commencement of ruling under Xi’s forces.
Political commentator Lin Zixu: members of the Tuan Group are
the biggest winner this time.
From it we can see the alliance between Hu Jintao and
Xi Jinping, however, they are still different.
Political commentator Lin Zixu said: Xi Jinping is different
from Hu Jintao.
Several years after Hu Jintao came to power, he was
unable to really control the power.
However, Xi Jinping, with a princeling origin, may have many
advantages that Hu did not have.
In earlier times, the Politics and Law Committee was referred
to as the second power center, and became the root of
disasters caused by Zhou Yongkang and Bo Xilai in
civil world and within the CCP.
Zhou Yongkang and Bo had opportunities to compete with Hu,
making Hu again fall into the dilemma of blocking any decrees
going out of Zhongnanhai.
In February 2012, Wang Lijun and Bo Xilai’s event destroyed
the political career of Zhou Yongkang as the secretary of
the Politics and Law Committee, which had been downgraded
in the 18th National People’s Congress (NPC), coupled with
Hu’s complete resignation, it is widely believed that
Xi Jinping may be in a better situation than Hu.
Political commentator Shi Da said: not like Hu Jintao,
Xi Jinping was not interfered with
greatly by 『the old forces』.
Shi Da: In the 18th NPC, Hu Jintao resigned together with
Jiang Zemin and Zeng Qinghong.
This trick may have worked, making the era of the
old forces’ ruling come to an end.
According to media reports in China, the CCP internal meeting
introduced internal regulations, that is, all senior officials
within the CCP could not interfere with politics after
retirement, including the chairman of the CMC, with no
exemptions on personnel in the retirement period.
Asia Week of the Hong Kong had reported before that Wang Yang
will serve as the vice premier of the State Council during the
two sessions of 2013, being responsible for coordinating the
next step of reform plans, and his role is very important.
Lin Zixu said: Of the seven Standing Committee members,
although Jiang’s personnel is the majority, from the overall
situation, Xi Jinping, Li Keqiang, Wang Qishan are ruling in
high profile positions while the rest of Jiang’s forces seem
to have turned into a kind of decoration.
Meanwhile, Little Hu Jintao- Hu Chunhua
governed the big economic province, Guangdong, Wang Yang
is also expected to enter the central committee to
assist Xi Jinping, thus Xi Jinping should be
in a sound situation soon.
Lin Xixu foresees that Xi Jinping also won the initiatives in
the personnel layout, and may have bigger actions in future.
However, Shi Da believes that although Xi Jinping has the best
time period, we should see if he has the wisdom.
Shi Da said the Chinese should not
hold too much hope in the CCP.