【新唐人2012年12月04日訊】12月1號，朝鮮宣稱將在最近發射一顆衛星。這引發各國的譴責與憂慮。外界認為，朝鮮發射衛星只是藉口，實際是在研製遠程導彈，從而能攜帶核彈頭打擊其他國家。聯合國安理會隨即發表聲明，對朝鮮不遵守協議、強行發射導彈表示擔憂。評論指出，金正恩急於發射導彈，一方面是為了在國內樹立個人崇拜，威脅美國、韓國，另一方面也是為了和中共捆得更緊。
據報導，朝鮮宇宙空間技術委員會發言人號稱，朝鮮將在12月10號到22號之間發射「光明星3號」2期實用衛星。衛星將通過「銀河3號」運載火箭、從朝鮮平安北道的西海衛星發射場發射。
朝鮮這一舉動引發各國譴責和擔憂。聯合國安理會下屬北韓制裁委員會主席卡布拉爾表示：「所有理事國一致認為不應強行發射導彈。」並對朝鮮此舉表示憂慮。
美國指出，朝鮮所謂的衛星項目實質是在開發遠程火箭，從而攜帶核彈頭打擊他國。朝鮮發射所謂「衛星」將是嚴重挑釁舉措，威脅地區和平與安全。朝鮮應該改善民生，恪守承諾與國際義務。
今年2月，美國和朝鮮曾經簽署協議，朝鮮承諾中止核項目與導彈計劃，以換取食品援助。 4月，朝鮮強行發射導彈，雖然發射失敗但協議被撕毀。
原大陸史學教授劉因全對《新唐人》表示，朝鮮急於發射導彈，有四個目地。
原大陸史學教授劉因全：「第一，是為了穩定內部，樹立金正恩的個人崇拜和個人威信。這是它的第一個目地。第二個目地是為了威脅韓國。第三個目地是想威脅美國。第四個目地是要威脅中國。」
劉因全指出，金正恩執政是基於不被承認的世襲制，但朝鮮因為經濟上極度貧困，金正恩只能通過炫耀武力，來試圖證明金氏家族獨裁統治的成功。如果導彈發射成功，可以威脅韓國讓步，要挾美國不再毫無保留的支持韓國。劉因全認為，朝鮮希望與中共捆綁得更緊，以得到中共對於朝鮮極左、世襲、獨裁政權的全力支持。
劉因全：「怎樣脅迫中國（中共）呢？怎樣把中國綁在它的戰車上呢？它就想有長城飛彈、核武器，這樣對中國也是一個很大的威脅。中國在處理和它的關係中，就不能不有所顧忌。」
朝鮮發佈發射衛星消息之後，周邊各國立即做出反應。俄羅斯空軍總司令指稱，俄羅斯部隊已做好準備，將跟蹤朝鮮衛星。日本防衛大臣森本敏當晚下達命令，準備動用宙斯盾級護衛艦和愛國者導彈攔截系統，來迎擊可能失控的朝鮮彈道導彈。
韓國外交部召開緊急會議，遣責朝鮮打著「衛星」的幌子發射遠程導彈，對12月19號將舉行的韓國總統大選進行干擾。
中共外交部發言人秦剛的說法則模棱兩可，他宣稱：朝鮮有和平利用外空權利，但這一權利受到安理會有關決議等的限制。
劉因全：「這說明中國（中共）政府是不講原則的。中國政府本來是應該堅決的反對北韓發射長城飛彈。這對中國政府改善形象，維護中國本國的國家利益，都是有好處的。」
核安全信息交流中心發起人何岸泉指出，中共一直扶持朝鮮，以此來在朝鮮半島、東亞地區保持影響力。如果朝鮮半島出現緊張局勢，對中共並不利。而朝鮮發射飛彈，是為了要挾美國將它從流氓專制國家中除名。
何岸泉：「它沒有能力去打誰，打南朝鮮、或者是打日本，它沒有能力。它目地就是鬧、折騰。折騰就一個目地，希望美國和它發展正常的國與國之間的關係。」
外界分析，12月17號是前朝鮮獨裁者金正日(Kim Jong-il)死亡一週年的祭日，朝鮮選擇12月發射火箭非常有像徵性。
採訪/劉惠 編輯/李謙 後製/蕭宇
North Korea’s New “Satellite” Launches
On December 1, North Korea declared
to launch a satellite this month.
This has raised world-wide condemnation and worries.
It is deemed as a cover up for a long-range missile test.
The UN Security Council immediately expressed concerns.
Commentators say the rocket launch will help cement Kim
Jong-un’s leadership and threaten South Korea and the U.S.
Also, N. Korea tries to bind more closely with the Chinese
Communist Party (CCP) to get its full political support.
The Korean Committee for Space Technology alleged to
launch a working satellite between Dec.10 and 22.
The satellite will blast off by carrier rocket Unha-3 from
the Sohae Space Center in North Phyongan Province.
The news has sparked international condemnation and fears.
José Filipe Moraes Cabral, head of U.N. Security Council’s
sanctions committee on North Korea, told the media,
“We all agree it would be extremely inadvisable to
proceed with this test."
Washington considers the rocket launch as a cover up
for long-range missile tests with nuclear warheads, designed to strike other countries.
It “would be a highly provocative act that
threatens peace and security in the region," spokeswoman Victoria Nuland said.
“The path to security for North Korea lies in investing
in its people and abiding by its commitments and international obligations."
In February this year, the U.S. and North Korea signed
an agreement.
North Korea promised to freeze nuclear work in exchange
for food aid from the U.S.
In April, North Korea breached this promise
by launching missiles, but failed.
Liu Yinquan, former historian professor in China,
analyzes purposes for North Korea’s launch plan.
Liu Yinquan: “Firstly, it’s to secure Kim Jong-un’s rule,
creating his own cult of personality and personal prestige.
Secondly, it aims to threaten South Korea.
Thirdly, to threaten the U.S.,and the fourth, to threaten China."
Liu Yinquan says that Kim Jong-un took over power
from his father, which lacks legitimacy.
In the impoverished North Korea,
the rocket launch can justify Kim’s dictatorship.
The successful launch will force S. Korea to yield and
threaten the U.S. to withdraw its full support of S. Korea.
Liu Yinquan comments the N. Korean dictator tries to
bundle more closely with the CCP regime, all in order to get its full support.
Liu Yinquan: “How will it threaten the CCP regime?
How will it bundle with China?
Possessing missiles and nuclear weapons would be
an effective approach.
This will help restrain CCP’s action towards N. Korea."
North Korea’s rocket launch news triggered actions
of its neighboring countries.
Russian Aerospace Defense Forces will be ready to
“bring it down” if the rocket goes off track towards Russia.
Japan Defense Minister Satoshi Morimoto has ordered
the deployment of its missile intercept system.
South Korean Foreign Ministry held an emergency meeting.
It accused N. Korea of launching a long-range missile
in the name of “satellite".
It said with provocations, North Korea attempts to influence
S. Korea’s presidential election held on December 19.
CCP Foreign Ministry spokesman Qin Gang remarked
ambiguously.
He said N. Korea has the right to the peaceful use of
outer space, but should abide by UN bans on ballistic missile tests.
Liu Yinquan: “This shows the CCP regime devoid of principle.
It should have firmly opposed N. Korea’s missile launch.
That would help improve the image of the Chinese regime
and safeguard its national interests.”
He Anquan, sponsor of China Nuclear Safety
Information Center comments.
The CCP has long supported N. Korea dictatorship to
maintain influence in the Korean Peninsula and in East Asia.
As tensions on the Korean Peninsula will be bad for the CCP.
He Anquan thinks N. Korea launched a missile aiming to
coerce the U.S. to delist it as an authoritarian state.
He Anquan: “It’s incapable of staging war with
other countries, such as S. Korea or Japan.
By making troubles, it aims to establish normal relations
with the U.S..”
Observers say that it is the first anniversary of
Kim Jong-il’s death on December 17th.
It is very symbolic to choose December
for the rocket launch.
