【新唐人2012年9月17日訊】習近平在消失兩個星期後，終於在15號重囘公衆視線。由於北京當局對習近平「失蹤」多天的原因諱莫如深，外界的猜測仍在繼續，對中共高層分裂導致政局失控的疑慮並沒有完全消除。有分析指出，習近平的出現對十八大的佈局起到了一個穩定作用，但是中國民衆「人心向背」才是中共執政的最大危機。
9月15號上午，中共喉舌《新華網》在頭條報導了「習近平參加全國科普日活動」的消息。當晚的《央視》新聞聯播也播出了活動內容。電視畫面上，習近平神情自若，不時面露笑容，氣色和往常沒有太大差別。
但是，北京方面對習近平在這兩個星期來的下落卻是絕口不提，外界的猜測仍在繼續。
香港《中通社》15號發表的一篇特稿，引述消息人士的話指出，習近平此前沒有公開露面是因爲身體不適，而他的露面表明十八大進程沒有受到影響。
獨立評論員、中國社會問題研究人士張健認爲，根據中共的權力運作規則和長期外交慣例，在此之前傳出的習近平「秘密南下」和「身陷十八大內鬥」等版本，都不足以讓習近平隱身。
中國社會問題研究人士張健：「習近平之所以隱身，其內部原因完全來源於自己身體的情況。只有身體情況，才會在中國這個時候，政治上，外交上各個方面受領土的壓力，民怨的壓力，外交的壓力，經濟的壓力……能放棄這些，只有他身體的原因。」
台灣《旺報》也分析，習近平首度露面，不是安排在接見外賓的場面，而是在學校這種可以控制的場合，或許正是讓他免於暴露健康方面破綻的考慮。但是無論如何，習近平的露面已經達到了穩定政局的效果，至少破除了他能否順利接班的質疑。
《自由亞洲電臺》則對洛杉磯華僑集會上的討論進行了採訪。
報導說，經常在洛杉磯承辦策劃僑團聯誼活動的王曉秋，猜想習近平在敏感時刻消失無蹤，幕後或許還有沒被公開的政治鬥爭。現在是暴風雨前的寧靜。
而剛從上海探親回到美國的程婷則表示，現在整個中國的氛圍是「一片肅殺」和「詭異」，中共當局現在把所有事情都捂著。她說，在她的印像當中，89年六四事件發生時，政情也不像現在這麼凝重。
時事評論員汪北稷認爲，「血債派」在這段時間試圖作最後的抵抗，比如，利用民族主義情緒，在釣魚島事件上大做文章，試圖在亂中達到目地。
時事評論員汪北稷：「我感覺習近平也好，最近中國當下的社會生態，都證明了中共內鬥的激烈、公開。中共當下的『歷史政治』的荒唐程度、荒誕程度不低於30年前。」
政治異議人士萬潤南在接受《法國國際廣播電臺》採訪時直接指出，「十八大來臨，中共高層有誰意識到，喪盡人心才是他們執政的最大危機呢？仍然在一如既往的宣揚他們自己都不相信的那一套，他們認為老百姓是可以愚弄的。」
汪北稷：「中共現在當下執政最大危機是人心喪失，這是毫無疑問的。洗腦工作是中共過去做的最紮實的一件事情，但是通過七六年的崩潰，八九年的暴力，還有九九年鎮壓法輪功之後，像動態網，海外媒體的信息傳輸以後，中共現在做的洗腦已經是徒勞了。」
張健表示，像中共這樣一個與世界民主潮流為敵，與人類普世價值為敵的政黨，不可能自己從本質上改變。任何對中共抱有幻想的都是「冬烘先生」。他呼籲中國民衆看清中共建政以來的所作所爲，徹底跟這個政權說「不」！
採訪/易如 編輯/李明飛 後製/肖顏
Has Xi Jinping’s Appearance in Public Stabilized the Situation?
On September 15, Xi Jinping appeared
in public for the first time in two weeks.
Since China’s authorities are reluctant to explain
Xi’s disappearance, speculations are continuing.
People still speculate that the party is divided over
many issues, and the political situation is out of control.
Some analysts think that Xi’s appearance has somewhat
stabilized the situation of the 18th National Congress.
However, losing people’s trust and support is the biggest
crisis the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) regime faces.
On the morning of September 15, mouthpiece of CCP,
Xinhua News Agency reported that
Xi Jinping attended the National Science Popularization Day.
CCTV’s evening news of the day also reported relevant news.
In this news, Xi Jinping was calm and smiling,
and nothing was different from usual.
However, the Chinese government refused to disclose
where Xi Jinping has been for the past two weeks.
People continue to speculate what happened.
Hong Kong Chinese News Agency
published an article on September 15.
It stated that Xi Jinping had vanished
from public view because he didn’t feel well.
However, his appearance in public now shows that the
agenda of the 18th National Congress hasn’t been affected.
There were rumors that Xi Jinping secretly visited southern
China, and is deeply involved in the CCP faction conflicts.
However, Zhang Jian, an independent commentator
and scholar of China’s social issues, thinks that those rumors are not enough to make Xi Jinping disappear.
This is based on CCP’s power operation rule
and the usual diplomatic conventions.
Zhang Jian: ”The reason that Xi disappeared
should be his health situation.
Now China is experiencing political pressure,
diplomatic pressure in territory conflicts,
internal pressure from social discontent,
as well as and economic pressure.
Only Xi’s health situation can make him
walk away from all of this right now.”
Taiwan’s “Want Daily” also stated that Xi’s first
public appearance was arranged in a school.
But this was not in a meeting with foreign dignitaries.
The reason might be that the authorities
don’t want to disclose Xi’s health situation.
However, Xi’s appearance in public has already
stabilized the political situation in China.
At least it has wiped out speculation
about whether or not Xi can take office.
“Radio Free Asia” interviewed individuals involved
in the rally of Chinese people in Los Angeles.
It reported that Wang Xiaoqiu frequently
organizes friendship activities in Los Angeles.
Wang thinks that Xi had vanished from public
view at a critical time, and the party’s faction conflicts might not be made public yet.
Now it’s the calm before the storm.
Cheng Ting has just visited Shanghai. She said
that the atmosphere in China is so somber and strange.
The CCP authorities try to conceal everything.
In her impression, even in the 1989 Tiananmen Square
massacre, it was not as somber and desolate as now.
Commentator Wang Beiji thinks that the blood-debt
faction is struggling during the last moments.
For example, they are making a lot of noise about
the Diaoyu islands by using people’s nationalistic emotions.
Actually, they only want to achieve
their own aims through the storm.
Wang Beiji: “The state of China’s current society indicates
that the party factions are divided publicly and severely.
The CCP’s current situation is as ridiculous
as that of 30 years ago, if not more.”
Political dissident Wan Runnan was interviewed
by Radio France Internationale (RFI).
He raised a very good question.
Since the 18th National Congress is approaching, however,
is there anyone from the CCP’s authorities who has realized
that losing public support is the biggest crisis they are facing?
They still keep promoting communist things that they don’t
believe themselves, and they think people can be fooled.
Wang Beiji: “The biggest crisis that the CCP
is facing is that they’ve lost people』s support.
There is no doubt about it. The CCP has done
an excellent job in brain-washing people.
However, after 1976, 1989 and the crackdown
on Falun Gong, the CCP’s brain-washing accomplishments have crumbled with more and more.
This is because of overseas information
being transmitted into China.
For example, the website dongtaiwang.com helps
people access to news happening all over the world.”
Zhang Jian points out that the CCP, as a party against
world-wide democracy and universal values of humanity,
will never change it’s nature.
Whoever still holds hope on the CCP is foolish.
Zhang Jian calls for all people to say 『No to the CCP regime』
by seeing clearly what the regime has done for its people.
